BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Francisco Trinaldo vs.
Kevin Lee

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-8-0 Francisco Trinaldo · UFC
11-8-0 Kevin Lee · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-8-0
UFC record
11-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
48
AgeΔ 14.1 yrs
33.9
5'9"
HeightΔ 0"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 7"
77"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
46.2
Layoff (months)Δ 9 mo
37.2
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kevin Lee hunts takedowns — 3.18 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Kevin Lee owns the mat — in control 41% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Francisco Trinaldo rarely shoots — 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Francisco Trinaldo

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Trinaldo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Kevin Lee

Full career not yet synced for Kevin Lee — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10093.13/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
8433.88/min · norm 3.42
8602.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
7813.60/min · norm 3.37
45.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.3%norm 43.5%
60.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
50.3%norm 56.3%
50.23/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.07/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Francisco Trinaldo

Distance 80.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)

Kevin Lee

Distance 77.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Francisco Trinaldo

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

Kevin Lee

Head 87.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Trinaldo L/AAccLightweight med Lee L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 703 / 1789 39.3% 37.9% 500 / 1537 32.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 168 / 238 70.6% 67.3% 73 / 98 74.5% 67.3%
On the ground 138 / 203 68.0% 69.1% 270 / 360 75.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 616 / 1723 35.8% 35.0% 653 / 1746 37.4% 35.0%
To the body 277 / 375 73.9% 69.1% 166 / 225 73.8% 69.1%
To the legs 116 / 132 87.9% 81.9% 24 / 24 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Trinaldo L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Lee L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 679 / 1932 35.1% 38.9% 650 / 1405 46.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 100 / 134 74.6% 68.6% 64 / 84 76.2% 68.6%
On the ground 81 / 125 64.8% 68.0% 67 / 83 80.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 442 / 1598 27.7% 35.1% 514 / 1235 41.6% 35.1%
To the body 249 / 390 63.8% 68.1% 146 / 202 72.3% 68.1%
To the legs 169 / 203 83.3% 81.5% 121 / 135 89.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2142.0% acc · 0.98/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
4643.4% acc · 3.18/15 · norm 1.38
4460.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3075.0% def · norm 64.0%
64:5920.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
89:3241.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
54:562:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
16:101:07 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.51/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
110.76/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Trinaldo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.