BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Francisco Trinaldo vs.
Jai Herbert

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-8-0 Francisco Trinaldo · UFC
4-5-1 Jai Herbert · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-8-0
UFC record
4-5-1
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
48
AgeΔ 9.8 yrs
38.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 4"
6'1"
70"
ReachΔ 7"
77"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
46.2
Layoff (months)Δ 42.6 mo
3.6
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLD
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jai Herbert carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jai Herbert rarely shoots — 0.42 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Francisco Trinaldo rarely shoots — 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Francisco Trinaldo

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Trinaldo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Jai Herbert

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 45
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 50
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10093.13/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3413.19/min · norm 3.42
8602.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3583.34/min · norm 3.37
45.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.6%norm 43.5%
60.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
53.0%norm 56.3%
50.23/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.84/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Francisco Trinaldo

Distance 80.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)

Jai Herbert

Distance 88.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Francisco Trinaldo

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

Jai Herbert

Head 75.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Trinaldo L/AAccLightweight med Herbert L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 703 / 1789 39.3% 37.9% 268 / 728 36.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 168 / 238 70.6% 67.3% 48 / 57 84.2% 67.3%
On the ground 138 / 203 68.0% 69.1% 25 / 35 71.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 616 / 1723 35.8% 35.0% 182 / 616 29.5% 35.0%
To the body 277 / 375 73.9% 69.1% 100 / 132 75.8% 69.1%
To the legs 116 / 132 87.9% 81.9% 59 / 72 81.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Trinaldo L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Herbert L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 679 / 1932 35.1% 38.9% 264 / 640 41.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 100 / 134 74.6% 68.6% 57 / 72 79.2% 68.6%
On the ground 81 / 125 64.8% 68.0% 37 / 49 75.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 442 / 1598 27.7% 35.1% 197 / 529 37.2% 35.1%
To the body 249 / 390 63.8% 68.1% 70 / 104 67.3% 68.1%
To the legs 169 / 203 83.3% 81.5% 91 / 128 71.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2142.0% acc · 0.98/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
321.4% acc · 0.42/15 · norm 1.38
4460.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2266.7% def · norm 64.0%
64:5920.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
17:4416.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
54:562:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
26:263:42 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.51/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Trinaldo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.