BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Francisco Trinaldo vs.
Danny Roberts

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-8-0 Francisco Trinaldo · UFC
7-7-0 Danny Roberts · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-8-0
UFC record
7-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
48
AgeΔ 8.9 yrs
39.1
5'9"
HeightΔ 4"
6'1"
70"
ReachΔ 4"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
46.2
Layoff (months)Δ 9.7 mo
36.5
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Danny Roberts rarely shoots — 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Francisco Trinaldo rarely shoots — 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Francisco Trinaldo

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Trinaldo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Danny Roberts

Full career not yet synced for Danny Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10093.13/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4053.18/min · norm 3.17
8602.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4743.72/min · norm 3.06
45.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.6%norm 44.9%
60.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.0%norm 55.25%
50.23/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.35/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Francisco Trinaldo

Distance 80.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)

Danny Roberts

Distance 80.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Francisco Trinaldo

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

Danny Roberts

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Trinaldo L/AAccLightweight med Roberts L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 703 / 1789 39.3% 37.9% 262 / 823 31.8% 38.6%
In the clinch 168 / 238 70.6% 67.3% 82 / 118 69.5% 67.8%
On the ground 138 / 203 68.0% 69.1% 61 / 83 73.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 616 / 1723 35.8% 35.0% 233 / 800 29.1% 37.2%
To the body 277 / 375 73.9% 69.1% 106 / 146 72.6% 70.7%
To the legs 116 / 132 87.9% 81.9% 66 / 78 84.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Trinaldo L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Roberts L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 679 / 1932 35.1% 38.9% 315 / 731 43.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 100 / 134 74.6% 68.6% 105 / 159 66.0% 68.9%
On the ground 81 / 125 64.8% 68.0% 54 / 77 70.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 442 / 1598 27.7% 35.1% 336 / 774 43.4% 35.6%
To the body 249 / 390 63.8% 68.1% 92 / 137 67.2% 69.6%
To the legs 169 / 203 83.3% 81.5% 46 / 56 82.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2142.0% acc · 0.98/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
29.5% acc · 0.24/15 · norm 1.27
4460.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2357.5% def · norm 63.9%
64:5920.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
19:1015.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
54:562:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
34:184:02 per 15 · norm 3:15
110.51/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.24/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Trinaldo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.