Francisco Trevino vs.
Sage Northcutt
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Francisco Trevino
Full career not yet synced for Francisco Trevino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
Sage Northcutt
Full career not yet synced for Sage Northcutt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Francisco Trevino
Distance 80.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)
Sage Northcutt
Distance 74.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Francisco Trevino
Head 61.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 24.9% (norm 7.9%)
Sage Northcutt
Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Trevino L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Northcutt L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 56 / 156 | 35.9% | 37.9% | 162 / 381 | 42.5% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 20 / 28 | 71.4% | 67.3% | 51 / 63 | 81.0% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 6 / 9 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 54 / 66 | 81.8% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 38 / 118 | 32.2% | 35.0% | 173 / 390 | 44.4% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 11 / 27 | 40.7% | 69.1% | 52 / 70 | 74.3% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 33 / 48 | 68.8% | 81.9% | 42 / 50 | 84.0% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Trevino L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Northcutt L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 43 / 156 | 27.6% | 38.9% | 107 / 296 | 36.1% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 19 / 35 | 54.3% | 68.6% | 6 / 12 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 13 / 19 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 33 / 48 | 68.8% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 54 / 177 | 30.5% | 35.1% | 87 / 262 | 33.2% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 13 / 23 | too few to rate | 68.1% | 15 / 31 | 48.4% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 44 / 63 | 69.8% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Northcutt has more cage time on record.