Francisco Rivera vs.
Alex Caceres
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Francisco Rivera
Full career not yet synced for Francisco Rivera — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500
Alex Caceres
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 16 | 13 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.78 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 37 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Francisco Rivera
Distance 88.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 6.5%)
Alex Caceres
Distance 90.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Francisco Rivera
Head 84.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 6.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.7% (norm 8.4%)
Alex Caceres
Head 75.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Rivera L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Caceres L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 353 / 901 | 39.2% | 39.0% | 1306 / 2737 | 47.7% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 45 / 79 | 57.0% | 68.7% | 128 / 177 | 72.3% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 23 / 38 | 60.5% | 70.2% | 85 / 126 | 67.5% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 299 / 862 | 34.7% | 34.9% | 950 / 2289 | 41.5% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 47 / 67 | 70.1% | 66.8% | 381 / 521 | 73.1% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 75 / 89 | 84.3% | 79.4% | 188 / 230 | 81.7% | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Rivera L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Caceres L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 216 / 847 | 25.5% | 39.3% | 957 / 2752 | 34.8% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 42 / 71 | 59.2% | 70.4% | 70 / 105 | 66.7% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 63 / 94 | 67.0% | 72.4% | 88 / 144 | 61.1% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 170 / 778 | 21.9% | 34.9% | 633 / 2305 | 27.5% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 97 / 149 | 65.1% | 66.0% | 210 / 358 | 58.7% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 54 / 85 | 63.5% | 79.1% | 272 / 338 | 80.5% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caceres has more cage time on record.