Francis Carmont vs. Lorenz Larkin
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Francis Carmont
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 5 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 16 | 7 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 36 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500
Lorenz Larkin
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 14 | 8 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 13 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.24 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 37 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Francis Carmont
Distance 73.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 15.8% (norm 10.0%)
Lorenz Larkin
Distance 83.9% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 13.1% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Francis Carmont
Head 75.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 8.4%)
Lorenz Larkin
Head 68.8% (norm 78.3%) · Body 11.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 20.0% (norm 8.0%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Carmont L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Larkin L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 117 / 398 | 29.4% | 40.5% | 293 / 735 | 39.9% | 38.5% |
| In the clinch | 45 / 59 | 76.3% | 70.6% | 75 / 115 | 65.2% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 62 / 86 | 72.1% | 69.4% | 23 / 26 | 88.5% | 67.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 135 / 411 | 32.8% | 38.8% | 191 / 603 | 31.7% | 36.4% |
| To the body | 57 / 94 | 60.6% | 71.6% | 61 / 98 | 62.2% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 32 / 38 | 84.2% | 83.3% | 139 / 175 | 79.4% | 83.0% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Carmont L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Larkin L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 115 / 331 | 34.7% | 39.5% | 274 / 794 | 34.5% | 39.1% |
| In the clinch | 38 / 57 | 66.7% | 70.4% | 42 / 61 | 68.9% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 20 / 31 | 64.5% | 69.0% | 7 / 7 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 89 / 295 | 30.2% | 37.9% | 173 / 629 | 27.5% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 22 / 45 | 48.9% | 71.3% | 63 / 114 | 55.3% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 62 / 79 | 78.5% | 82.1% | 87 / 119 | 73.1% | 82.2% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Larkin has more cage time on record.