BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Forrest Petz vs.
Kuniyoshi Hironaka

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-5-0 Forrest Petz · UFC
1-3-0 Kuniyoshi Hironaka · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-5-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
50.9
AgeΔ 0.8 yrs
50.1
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
190.7
Layoff (months)Δ 28.8 mo
219.5
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Forrest Petz carries real power — 0.92 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Kuniyoshi Hironaka is a submission threat — 0.97 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Kuniyoshi Hironaka hunts takedowns — 2.60 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Forrest Petz

Full career not yet synced for Forrest Petz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Kuniyoshi Hironaka

Full career not yet synced for Kuniyoshi Hironaka — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1842.27/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
661.43/min · norm 3.17
1782.20/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1302.81/min · norm 3.06
29.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
43.7%norm 44.9%
57.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
54.9%norm 55.25%
50.92/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.32/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Forrest Petz

Distance 83.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.1%)

Kuniyoshi Hironaka

Distance 57.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 35.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Forrest Petz

Head 78.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)

Kuniyoshi Hironaka

Head 86.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Petz L/AAccWelterweight med Hironaka L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 123 / 521 23.6% 38.6% 26 / 87 29.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 45 / 72 62.5% 67.8% 7 / 11 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 16 / 29 55.2% 67.2% 33 / 53 62.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 91 / 485 18.8% 37.2% 48 / 130 36.9% 37.2%
To the body 73 / 115 63.5% 70.7% 9 / 10 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 20 / 22 too few to rate 82.9% 9 / 11 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Petz L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Hironaka L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 98 / 287 34.1% 39.0% 69 / 185 37.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 34 / 60 56.7% 68.9% 27 / 49 55.1% 68.9%
On the ground 46 / 71 64.8% 68.0% 34 / 54 63.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 107 / 334 32.0% 35.6% 86 / 232 37.1% 35.6%
To the body 27 / 37 73.0% 69.6% 12 / 17 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 44 / 47 93.6% 82.1% 32 / 39 82.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

7100.0% acc · 1.29/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
832.0% acc · 2.60/15 · norm 1.27
2866.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
116.7% def · norm 63.9%
13:1116.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
13:4529.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
20:473:50 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
14:014:33 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.97/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Petz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.