Forrest Petz vs.
Daniel Roberts
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Forrest Petz
Full career not yet synced for Forrest Petz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500
Daniel Roberts
Full career not yet synced for Daniel Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Forrest Petz
Distance 83.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.1%)
Daniel Roberts
Distance 88.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Forrest Petz
Head 78.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)
Daniel Roberts
Head 83.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Petz L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Roberts L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 123 / 521 | 23.6% | 38.6% | 34 / 212 | 16.0% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 45 / 72 | 62.5% | 67.8% | 7 / 10 | too few to rate | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 16 / 29 | 55.2% | 67.2% | 8 / 18 | too few to rate | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 91 / 485 | 18.8% | 37.2% | 26 / 200 | 13.0% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 73 / 115 | 63.5% | 70.7% | 16 / 24 | too few to rate | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 20 / 22 | too few to rate | 82.9% | 7 / 16 | too few to rate | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Petz L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Roberts L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 98 / 287 | 34.1% | 39.0% | 67 / 165 | 40.6% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 34 / 60 | 56.7% | 68.9% | 27 / 44 | 61.4% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 46 / 71 | 64.8% | 68.0% | 58 / 73 | 79.5% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 107 / 334 | 32.0% | 35.6% | 76 / 197 | 38.6% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 27 / 37 | 73.0% | 69.6% | 40 / 48 | 83.3% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 44 / 47 | 93.6% | 82.1% | 36 / 37 | 97.3% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Petz has more cage time on record.