BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Felice Herrig vs.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-5-0 Felice Herrig · UFC
9-10-0 Karolina Kowalkiewicz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-5-0
UFC record
9-10-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
41.9
AgeΔ 1.1 yrs
40.8
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'3"
65"
ReachΔ 1"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
50.1
Layoff (months)Δ 40.3 mo
9.8
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Felice Herrig is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz rarely shoots — 0.36 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 5.54 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Felice Herrig

Full career not yet synced for Felice Herrig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4253.84/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
13945.54/min · norm 3.77
5755.19/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
14515.77/min · norm 3.94
37.6%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
43.0%norm 44.5%
48.1%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
56.9%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Felice Herrig

Distance 85.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 5.0%)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Distance 88.2% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Felice Herrig

Head 77.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 9.1%)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Head 76.9% (norm 76.4%) · Body 15.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Herrig L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Kowalkiewicz L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 304 / 969 31.4% 38.3% 1101 / 2859 38.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 85 / 114 74.6% 72.6% 253 / 334 75.7% 72.6%
On the ground 36 / 48 75.0% 75.0% 40 / 50 80.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 259 / 873 29.7% 35.4% 852 / 2494 34.2% 35.4%
To the body 123 / 186 66.1% 69.3% 370 / 517 71.6% 69.3%
To the legs 43 / 72 59.7% 77.9% 172 / 232 74.1% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Herrig L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Kowalkiewicz L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 363 / 853 42.6% 39.7% 1172 / 2983 39.3% 39.7%
In the clinch 125 / 148 84.5% 71.5% 230 / 324 71.0% 71.5%
On the ground 87 / 107 81.3% 74.4% 49 / 57 86.0% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 378 / 868 43.5% 36.0% 858 / 2517 34.1% 36.0%
To the body 120 / 150 80.0% 68.4% 376 / 560 67.1% 68.4%
To the legs 77 / 90 85.6% 79.1% 217 / 287 75.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

828.6% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
623.1% acc · 0.36/15 · norm 1.10
1575.0% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
5074.6% def · norm 64.1%
27:5825.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
26:0010.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
24:063:15 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
45:322:42 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.81/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
30.18/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kowalkiewicz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.