BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Felice Herrig vs.
Alexa Grasso

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-5-0 Felice Herrig · UFC
9-5-1 Alexa Grasso · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-5-0
UFC record
9-5-1
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
41.9
AgeΔ 8.9 yrs
33
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
65"
ReachΔ 1"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
50.1
Layoff (months)Δ 45.8 mo
4.3
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLDW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Felice Herrig is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Alexa Grasso is a submission threat — 0.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Alexa Grasso rarely shoots — 0.40 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Felice Herrig

Full career not yet synced for Felice Herrig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Alexa Grasso

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 95
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.2 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4253.84/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
9214.11/min · norm 3.91
5755.19/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
8313.71/min · norm 3.81
37.6%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 44.9%
48.1%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
58.7%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
20.13/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Felice Herrig

Distance 85.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 5.0%)

Alexa Grasso

Distance 89.7% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.7% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Felice Herrig

Head 77.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 9.1%)

Alexa Grasso

Head 76.6% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Herrig L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Grasso L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 304 / 969 31.4% 38.3% 750 / 2010 37.3% 39.9%
In the clinch 85 / 114 74.6% 72.6% 142 / 191 74.3% 73.3%
On the ground 36 / 48 75.0% 75.0% 29 / 39 74.4% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 259 / 873 29.7% 35.4% 570 / 1716 33.2% 34.9%
To the body 123 / 186 66.1% 69.3% 174 / 264 65.9% 69.5%
To the legs 43 / 72 59.7% 77.9% 177 / 260 68.1% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Herrig L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Grasso L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 363 / 853 42.6% 39.7% 709 / 1838 38.6% 38.8%
In the clinch 125 / 148 84.5% 71.5% 76 / 114 66.7% 74.1%
On the ground 87 / 107 81.3% 74.4% 46 / 61 75.4% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 378 / 868 43.5% 36.0% 598 / 1692 35.3% 35.3%
To the body 120 / 150 80.0% 68.4% 145 / 210 69.0% 69.0%
To the legs 77 / 90 85.6% 79.1% 88 / 111 79.3% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

828.6% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
635.3% acc · 0.40/15 · norm 1.02
1575.0% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
4054.8% def · norm 58.95%
27:5825.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
21:159.5% of cage time · norm 19.15%
24:063:15 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
54:073:37 per 15 · norm 3:03
60.81/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
100.67/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grasso has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.