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Fabricio Werdum vs. Alexander Gustafsson

UFC 12-6-0 vs. 10-8-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
12-6-0
UFC record
10-8-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
49
AgeΔ 10 yrs
39
6'4"
HeightΔ 1"
6'5"
77"
ReachΔ 2"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
74.8
Layoff (months)Δ 23.9 mo
50.9
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Fabricio Werdum is a submission threat — 0.47 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Alexander Gustafsson carries real power — 0.72 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Alexander Gustafsson hunts takedowns — 1.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Fabricio Werdum

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 126
Tier 3 — regional circuit 123

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.12 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Alexander Gustafsson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 138
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8904.60/min · norm 3.28
Sig. strikes landed
7514.03/min · norm 3.48
6283.25/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
6593.53/min · norm 3.37
56.4%norm 47.5%
Striking accuracy
40.7%norm 48.45%
54.9%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
51.4%norm 52.75%
40.31/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
90.72/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Fabricio Werdum

Distance 79.8% (norm 79.2%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 9.3%)

Alexander Gustafsson

Distance 85.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 10.6%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Fabricio Werdum

Head 75.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 7.6%)

Alexander Gustafsson

Head 80.4% (norm 78.5%) · Body 11.1% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 8.5% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Werdum L/AAccHeavyweight med Gustafsson L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 673 / 1260 53.4% 40.1% 575 / 1583 36.3% 41.5%
In the clinch 112 / 155 72.3% 70.4% 59 / 106 55.7% 70.8%
On the ground 105 / 164 64.0% 70.2% 117 / 156 75.0% 72.9%
BY TARGET
To the head 568 / 1199 47.4% 39.0% 523 / 1484 35.2% 39.2%
To the body 169 / 215 78.6% 77.0% 110 / 205 53.7% 72.0%
To the legs 153 / 165 92.7% 87.8% 118 / 156 75.6% 82.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Werdum L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Gustafsson L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 482 / 1199 40.2% 40.7% 496 / 1131 43.9% 40.6%
In the clinch 97 / 140 69.3% 70.6% 101 / 148 68.2% 68.8%
On the ground 49 / 55 89.1% 72.2% 62 / 78 79.5% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 417 / 1107 37.7% 39.3% 398 / 992 40.1% 37.7%
To the body 82 / 115 71.3% 75.1% 102 / 162 63.0% 72.9%
To the legs 129 / 172 75.0% 84.4% 159 / 203 78.3% 83.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1628.6% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 0.90
Takedowns landed
1939.6% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 0.87
426.7% def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
4183.7% def · norm 66.7%
36:0418.6% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
30:4416.5% of cage time · norm 17.1%
21:431:41 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control lower is better
17:541:26 per 15 · norm 2:50
60.47/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
50.40/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Werdum has more cage time on record.