BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Fabricio Camoes vs.
Melvin Guillard

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-4-1 Fabricio Camoes · UFC
12-9-0 (1 NC) Melvin Guillard · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-4-1
UFC record
12-9-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
47.6
AgeΔ 4.2 yrs
43.4
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
71"
ReachΔ 0"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
141.4
Layoff (months)Δ 7.5 mo
148.9
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Melvin Guillard carries real power — 1.33 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Fabricio Camoes is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Fabricio Camoes hunts takedowns — 2.34 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Fabricio Camoes

Full career not yet synced for Fabricio Camoes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Melvin Guillard

Full career not yet synced for Melvin Guillard — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

661.29/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4483.06/min · norm 3.42
951.85/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2671.83/min · norm 3.37
33.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.7%norm 43.5%
61.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
68.1%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
131.33/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Fabricio Camoes

Distance 76.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 15.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 8.0%)

Melvin Guillard

Distance 79.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Fabricio Camoes

Head 81.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)

Melvin Guillard

Head 82.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Camoes L/AAccLightweight med Guillard L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 43 / 152 28.3% 37.9% 312 / 896 34.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 16 / 31 51.6% 67.3% 58 / 96 60.4% 67.3%
On the ground 7 / 17 too few to rate 69.1% 78 / 136 57.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 41 / 163 25.2% 35.0% 300 / 928 32.3% 35.0%
To the body 11 / 17 too few to rate 69.1% 90 / 134 67.2% 69.1%
To the legs 14 / 20 too few to rate 81.9% 58 / 66 87.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Camoes L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Guillard L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 51 / 173 29.5% 38.9% 219 / 732 29.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 10 / 20 too few to rate 68.6% 36 / 75 48.0% 68.6%
On the ground 34 / 53 64.2% 68.0% 12 / 31 38.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 63 / 204 30.9% 35.1% 123 / 604 20.4% 35.1%
To the body 13 / 15 too few to rate 68.1% 59 / 111 53.2% 68.1%
To the legs 19 / 27 70.4% 81.5% 85 / 123 69.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

832.0% acc · 2.34/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1466.7% acc · 1.44/15 · norm 1.38
220.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
5865.2% def · norm 64.0%
8:3716.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
12:558.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
20:536:06 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
34:063:29 per 15 · norm 2:46
51.46/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.21/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guillard has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.