BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Evan Dunham vs.
TJ Grant

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-9-1 Evan Dunham · UFC
8-3-0 TJ Grant · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-9-1
UFC record
8-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44.6
AgeΔ 2.2 yrs
42.4
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
74
Layoff (months)Δ 84.4 mo
158.4
LLLDW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Evan Dunham is a submission threat — 0.98 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Evan Dunham outworks the Lightweight division — 5.33 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
TJ Grant carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Evan Dunham

Full career not yet synced for Evan Dunham — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

TJ Grant

Full career not yet synced for TJ Grant — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12285.33/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
5103.95/min · norm 3.17
8163.54/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4153.21/min · norm 3.06
39.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
54.0%norm 44.9%
61.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
56.9%norm 55.25%
20.13/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.58/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Evan Dunham

Distance 89.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

TJ Grant

Distance 70.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Evan Dunham

Head 91.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.9%)

TJ Grant

Head 73.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dunham L/AAccLightweight med Grant L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1024 / 2811 36.4% 37.9% 315 / 663 47.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 142 / 218 65.1% 67.3% 141 / 196 71.9% 67.8%
On the ground 62 / 99 62.6% 69.1% 54 / 85 63.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 1039 / 2849 36.5% 35.0% 298 / 693 43.0% 37.2%
To the body 137 / 221 62.0% 69.1% 154 / 187 82.4% 70.7%
To the legs 52 / 58 89.7% 81.9% 58 / 64 90.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dunham L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Grant L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 639 / 1840 34.7% 38.9% 285 / 723 39.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 122 / 202 60.4% 68.6% 32 / 59 54.2% 68.9%
On the ground 55 / 87 63.2% 68.0% 98 / 180 54.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 557 / 1767 31.5% 35.1% 323 / 836 38.6% 35.6%
To the body 160 / 232 69.0% 68.1% 43 / 71 60.6% 69.6%
To the legs 99 / 130 76.2% 81.5% 49 / 55 89.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2833.3% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1443.8% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.27
5979.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1436.8% def · norm 63.9%
52:2122.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
32:0724.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
27:521:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
47:295:30 per 15 · norm 3:15
150.98/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
50.58/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dunham has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.