Evan Dunham vs.
Marcus Aurelio
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Evan Dunham
Full career not yet synced for Evan Dunham — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500
Marcus Aurelio
Full career not yet synced for Marcus Aurelio — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Evan Dunham
Distance 89.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.0%)
Marcus Aurelio
Distance 88.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Evan Dunham
Head 91.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.9%)
Marcus Aurelio
Head 94.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 3.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Dunham L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Aurelio L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 1024 / 2811 | 36.4% | 37.9% | 117 / 405 | 28.9% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 142 / 218 | 65.1% | 67.3% | 15 / 26 | 57.7% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 62 / 99 | 62.6% | 69.1% | 21 / 28 | 75.0% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 1039 / 2849 | 36.5% | 35.0% | 131 / 435 | 30.1% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 137 / 221 | 62.0% | 69.1% | 14 / 16 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 52 / 58 | 89.7% | 81.9% | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Dunham L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Aurelio L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 639 / 1840 | 34.7% | 38.9% | 212 / 569 | 37.3% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 122 / 202 | 60.4% | 68.6% | 16 / 28 | 57.1% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 55 / 87 | 63.2% | 68.0% | 32 / 56 | 57.1% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 557 / 1767 | 31.5% | 35.1% | 153 / 497 | 30.8% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 160 / 232 | 69.0% | 68.1% | 36 / 64 | 56.2% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 99 / 130 | 76.2% | 81.5% | 71 / 92 | 77.2% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dunham has more cage time on record.