Estevan Payan vs.
Jeremy Stephens
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Estevan Payan
Full career not yet synced for Estevan Payan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Jeremy Stephens
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 16 | 22 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 13 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 53 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-17 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Estevan Payan
Distance 74.2% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 16.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 6.5%)
Jeremy Stephens
Distance 84.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Estevan Payan
Head 70.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 7.8%)
Jeremy Stephens
Head 77.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Payan L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Stephens L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 33 / 135 | 24.4% | 40.9% | 942 / 2637 | 35.7% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 25 / 30 | 83.3% | 70.8% | 126 / 175 | 72.0% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 9 / 17 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 213 / 326 | 65.3% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 32 / 128 | 25.0% | 37.2% | 752 / 2420 | 31.1% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 24 / 34 | 70.6% | 68.2% | 222 / 307 | 72.3% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 11 / 20 | too few to rate | 80.7% | 307 / 411 | 74.7% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Payan L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Stephens L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 59 / 128 | 46.1% | 39.2% | 1035 / 2709 | 38.2% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 12 / 19 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 113 / 165 | 68.5% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 32 / 39 | 82.1% | 69.4% | 179 / 278 | 64.4% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 46 / 116 | 39.7% | 35.9% | 812 / 2468 | 32.9% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 24 / 28 | 85.7% | 67.9% | 238 / 349 | 68.2% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 33 / 42 | 78.6% | 81.5% | 277 / 335 | 82.7% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stephens has more cage time on record.