BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Erik Koch vs.
Raphael Assuncao

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-5-0 Erik Koch · UFC
12-7-0 Raphael Assuncao · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-5-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
37.8
AgeΔ 6.2 yrs
44
5'10"
HeightΔ 5"
5'5"
71"
ReachΔ 5"
66"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
84.3
Layoff (months)Δ 43.4 mo
40.9
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Erik Koch is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Raphael Assuncao hunts takedowns — 1.59 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Raphael Assuncao defends head shots well — opponents land just 21%, vs a 35% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Erik Koch

Full career not yet synced for Erik Koch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Raphael Assuncao

Full career not yet synced for Raphael Assuncao — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2352.40/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7863.46/min · norm 3.52
3303.37/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6252.76/min · norm 3.58
40.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.7%norm 43.4%
49.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
66.0%norm 56.6%
20.31/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.13/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Erik Koch

Distance 79.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.0%)

Raphael Assuncao

Distance 88.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Erik Koch

Head 85.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Raphael Assuncao

Head 71.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Koch L/AAccLightweight med Assuncao L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 143 / 464 30.8% 37.9% 639 / 1593 40.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 45 / 59 76.3% 67.3% 80 / 116 69.0% 68.7%
On the ground 47 / 59 79.7% 69.1% 67 / 90 74.4% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 167 / 498 33.5% 35.0% 418 / 1293 32.3% 34.9%
To the body 40 / 48 83.3% 69.1% 126 / 197 64.0% 66.8%
To the legs 28 / 36 77.8% 81.9% 242 / 309 78.3% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Koch L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Assuncao L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 140 / 393 35.6% 38.9% 578 / 1761 32.8% 39.3%
In the clinch 84 / 108 77.8% 68.6% 29 / 52 55.8% 70.4%
On the ground 106 / 148 71.6% 68.0% 18 / 23 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 189 / 449 42.1% 35.1% 274 / 1322 20.7% 34.9%
To the body 88 / 127 69.3% 68.1% 158 / 252 62.7% 66.0%
To the legs 53 / 73 72.6% 81.5% 193 / 262 73.7% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

743.8% acc · 1.07/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2438.7% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.12
5086.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3078.9% def · norm 66.7%
20:3321.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
29:2913.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
36:055:31 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
15:161:00 per 15 · norm 2:24
60.92/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.13/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Assuncao has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.