BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Erick Gonzalez vs.
Terrance McKinney

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Erick Gonzalez · UFC
8-6-0 Terrance McKinney · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
8-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
34
AgeΔ 3 yrs
31
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
75"
ReachΔ 2"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
41.3
Layoff (months)Δ 40.4 mo
0.9
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Terrance McKinney carries real power — 1.31 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Terrance McKinney is a submission threat — 2.18 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Erick Gonzalez hunts takedowns — 6.00 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Erick Gonzalez

Full career not yet synced for Erick Gonzalez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Terrance McKinney

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 82

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

302.40/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2747.95/min · norm 3.42
1018.08/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1644.76/min · norm 3.37
36.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
55.8%norm 43.5%
40.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
41.6%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
31.31/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Erick Gonzalez

Distance 93.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 8.0%)

Terrance McKinney

Distance 60.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 30.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Erick Gonzalez

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 7.9%)

Terrance McKinney

Head 90.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gonzalez L/AAccLightweight med McKinney L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 27 / 77 35.1% 37.9% 128 / 297 43.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 2 / 3 too few to rate 67.3% 32 / 43 74.4% 67.3%
On the ground 1 / 2 too few to rate 69.1% 114 / 151 75.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 21 / 68 30.9% 35.0% 239 / 444 53.8% 35.0%
To the body 5 / 8 too few to rate 69.1% 35 / 46 76.1% 69.1%
To the legs 4 / 6 too few to rate 81.9% 0 / 1 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gonzalez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs McKinney L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 129 52.7% 38.9% 104 / 201 51.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 20 / 25 80.0% 68.6% 19 / 24 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 13 / 17 too few to rate 68.0% 41 / 56 73.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 78 / 145 53.8% 35.1% 102 / 203 50.2% 35.1%
To the body 15 / 18 too few to rate 68.1% 44 / 56 78.6% 68.1%
To the legs 8 / 8 too few to rate 81.5% 18 / 22 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

555.6% acc · 6.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
746.7% acc · 3.05/15 · norm 1.38
250.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
872.7% def · norm 64.0%
3:1726.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
15:3345.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
3:033:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
3:351:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
52.18/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — McKinney has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.