Eric Spicely vs.
Deron Winn
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Eric Spicely
Full career not yet synced for Eric Spicely — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
Deron Winn
Full career not yet synced for Deron Winn — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Eric Spicely
Distance 80.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 10.3%)
Deron Winn
Distance 86.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 11.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.8% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Eric Spicely
Head 91.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 7.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 1.6% (norm 8.4%)
Deron Winn
Head 86.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Spicely L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Winn L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 108 / 302 | 35.8% | 40.5% | 242 / 591 | 40.9% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 38 / 45 | 84.4% | 70.3% | 50 / 77 | 64.9% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 24 / 29 | 82.8% | 69.1% | 11 / 12 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 143 / 342 | 41.8% | 38.9% | 221 / 585 | 37.8% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 21 / 28 | 75.0% | 71.7% | 60 / 73 | 82.2% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 6 / 6 | too few to rate | 83.3% | 22 / 22 | too few to rate | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Spicely L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Winn L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 203 / 505 | 40.2% | 39.5% | 318 / 649 | 49.0% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 40 / 57 | 70.2% | 70.9% | 67 / 83 | 80.7% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 19 / 29 | 65.5% | 69.0% | 29 / 35 | 82.9% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 198 / 515 | 38.4% | 37.9% | 338 / 684 | 49.4% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 58 / 70 | 82.9% | 71.3% | 68 / 75 | 90.7% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 6 / 6 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Spicely has more cage time on record.