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Edson Barboza vs. Rafaello Oliveira

UFC 18-15-0 vs. 2-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
18-15-0
UFC record
2-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 4 yrs
44
5'11"
HeightΔ 3"
5'8"
75"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 149.7 mo
151.9
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Rafaello Oliveira is a submission threat — 1.60 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Edson Barboza carries real power — 0.62 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Rafaello Oliveira owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Edson Barboza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1814
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.06 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Rafaello Oliveira

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 26
Tier 3 — regional circuit 152

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.5 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

16164.15/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
1852.19/min · norm 3.44
18554.76/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2853.38/min · norm 3.38
44.7%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
33.4%norm 43.65%
55.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.3%norm 56.3%
160.62/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Edson Barboza

Distance 94.7% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 8.0%)

Rafaello Oliveira

Distance 81.2% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Edson Barboza

Head 65.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.1% (norm 8.0%)

Rafaello Oliveira

Head 78.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.7% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Barboza L/AAccLightweight med Oliveira L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1476 / 3425 43.1% 38.3% 130 / 450 28.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 80 / 98 81.6% 67.5% 16 / 43 37.2% 67.5%
On the ground 60 / 92 65.2% 68.8% 39 / 61 63.9% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 707 / 2371 29.8% 35.1% 110 / 433 25.4% 35.1%
To the body 511 / 736 69.4% 69.1% 38 / 67 56.7% 69.1%
To the legs 398 / 508 78.3% 81.8% 37 / 54 68.5% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Barboza L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Oliveira L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1494 / 3662 40.8% 38.8% 188 / 569 33.0% 38.8%
In the clinch 90 / 134 67.2% 68.6% 40 / 56 71.4% 68.6%
On the ground 271 / 374 72.5% 68.0% 57 / 76 75.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1343 / 3460 38.8% 35.2% 157 / 530 29.6% 35.2%
To the body 254 / 398 63.8% 68.2% 74 / 103 71.8% 68.2%
To the legs 258 / 312 82.7% 81.5% 54 / 68 79.4% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1150.0% acc · 0.42/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1436.8% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.34
7673.1% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
111.1% def · norm 63.7%
24:396.3% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
30:3936.3% of cage time · norm 18.95%
67:122:35 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
7:521:23 per 15 · norm 2:50
20.08/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
91.60/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barboza has more cage time on record.