BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Edson Barboza vs.
Jamie Varner

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-14-0 Edson Barboza · UFC
3-6-0 Jamie Varner · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-14-0
UFC record
3-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40.5
AgeΔ 1.3 yrs
41.8
5'11"
HeightΔ 3"
5'8"
75"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
8
Layoff (months)Δ 131.8 mo
139.8
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jamie Varner hunts takedowns — 4.56 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Edson Barboza carries real power — 0.63 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jamie Varner is a submission threat — 1.19 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Edson Barboza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1814
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.06 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-12 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Jamie Varner

Full career not yet synced for Jamie Varner — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15864.14/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2433.21/min · norm 3.42
17924.68/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2052.71/min · norm 3.37
44.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
38.0%norm 43.5%
55.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
58.3%norm 56.3%
160.63/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.40/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Edson Barboza

Distance 94.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 8.0%)

Jamie Varner

Distance 70.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Edson Barboza

Head 65.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.1% (norm 7.9%)

Jamie Varner

Head 86.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Barboza L/AAccLightweight med Varner L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1447 / 3362 43.0% 37.9% 159 / 449 35.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 79 / 97 81.4% 67.3% 32 / 63 50.8% 67.3%
On the ground 60 / 92 65.2% 69.1% 52 / 128 40.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 694 / 2329 29.8% 35.0% 183 / 555 33.0% 35.0%
To the body 500 / 720 69.4% 69.1% 49 / 70 70.0% 69.1%
To the legs 392 / 502 78.1% 81.9% 11 / 15 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Barboza L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Varner L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1445 / 3555 40.6% 38.9% 151 / 401 37.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 76 / 116 65.5% 68.6% 20 / 42 47.6% 68.6%
On the ground 271 / 373 72.7% 68.0% 34 / 49 69.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1302 / 3359 38.8% 35.1% 142 / 413 34.4% 35.1%
To the body 244 / 387 63.0% 68.1% 25 / 37 67.6% 68.1%
To the legs 246 / 298 82.6% 81.5% 38 / 42 90.5% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1150.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2360.5% acc · 4.56/15 · norm 1.38
7673.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1066.7% def · norm 64.0%
24:396.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
20:1326.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
66:532:37 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
13:042:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.08/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
61.19/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barboza has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.