Matchup deep-dive

Edgar Garcia vs.
Brad Blackburn

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-4-0 Edgar Garcia · UFC
3-2-0 Brad Blackburn · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-4-0
UFC record
3-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42
AgeΔ 7 yrs
49
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 2"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
127.1
Layoff (months)Δ 68.8 mo
195.9
LLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Brad Blackburn carries real power — 1.16 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Edgar Garcia hunts takedowns — 2.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Brad Blackburn is a submission threat — 0.70 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Edgar Garcia

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 05
Tier 3 — regional circuit 140

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.72 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Brad Blackburn

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 73
Tier 3 — regional circuit 1110

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.42 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

692.67/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2944.55/min · norm 3.17
1134.37/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2323.59/min · norm 3.06
27.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
35.6%norm 44.9%
60.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
65.3%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
51.16/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Edgar Garcia

Distance 86.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.1%)

Brad Blackburn

Distance 91.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Edgar Garcia

Head 92.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 4.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.8% (norm 8.4%)

Brad Blackburn

Head 79.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Garcia L/AAccWelterweight med Blackburn L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 45 / 219 20.5% 38.6% 255 / 757 33.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 7 / 12 too few to rate 67.8% 16 / 35 45.7% 67.8%
On the ground 17 / 23 too few to rate 67.2% 23 / 35 65.7% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 55 / 235 23.4% 37.2% 181 / 655 27.6% 37.2%
To the body 8 / 12 too few to rate 70.7% 44 / 82 53.7% 70.7%
To the legs 6 / 7 too few to rate 82.9% 69 / 90 76.7% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Garcia L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Blackburn L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 74 / 198 37.4% 39.0% 193 / 605 31.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 5 / 12 too few to rate 68.9% 17 / 35 48.6% 68.9%
On the ground 34 / 74 45.9% 68.0% 22 / 29 75.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 226 33.6% 35.6% 135 / 554 24.4% 35.6%
To the body 15 / 27 55.6% 69.6% 62 / 76 81.6% 69.6%
To the legs 22 / 31 71.0% 82.1% 35 / 39 89.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

457.1% acc · 2.32/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
450.0% acc · 0.93/15 · norm 1.27
150.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1076.9% def · norm 63.9%
3:3413.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
9:4215.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
3:432:09 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
6:141:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.58/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.70/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Blackburn has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.