BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Edgar Chairez vs.
CJ Vergara

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-2-0 (1 NC) Edgar Chairez · UFC
3-5-0 CJ Vergara · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-2-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
3-5-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
30.5
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
35.1
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 14.3 mo
16.3
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Edgar Chairez carries real power — 0.78 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Edgar Chairez is a submission threat — 1.82 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
CJ Vergara rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Edgar Chairez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 53
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.91 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

CJ Vergara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 45
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 21
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.67 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2233.86/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
4144.95/min · norm 3.49
2644.57/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3934.69/min · norm 3.24
47.5%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
56.8%norm 44.6%
45.3%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
53.4%norm 56.4%
30.78/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Edgar Chairez

Distance 97.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 0.9% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.1% (norm 7.3%)

CJ Vergara

Distance 76.8% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 16.9% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Edgar Chairez

Head 74.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 9.3%)

CJ Vergara

Head 63.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 27.0% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Chairez L/AAccFlyweight med Vergara L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 213 / 455 46.8% 40.0% 295 / 560 52.7% 40.0%
In the clinch 4 / 4 too few to rate 70.4% 35 / 46 76.1% 70.4%
On the ground 6 / 10 too few to rate 69.7% 84 / 123 68.3% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 133 / 347 38.3% 37.6% 205 / 462 44.4% 37.6%
To the body 41 / 59 69.5% 68.5% 150 / 197 76.1% 68.5%
To the legs 49 / 63 77.8% 80.0% 59 / 70 84.3% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Chairez L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Vergara L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 215 / 418 51.4% 40.1% 341 / 774 44.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 6 / 7 too few to rate 68.8% 25 / 33 75.8% 68.8%
On the ground 43 / 58 74.1% 71.1% 27 / 37 73.0% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 178 / 365 48.8% 35.2% 248 / 659 37.6% 35.2%
To the body 37 / 61 60.7% 68.2% 95 / 129 73.6% 68.2%
To the legs 49 / 57 86.0% 80.3% 50 / 56 89.3% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.30
746.7% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2460.0% def · norm 62.5%
1:463.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
10:4512.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
20:095:13 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
20:333:40 per 15 · norm 2:44
71.82/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.18/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Vergara has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.