BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Eddie Wineland vs.
Takeya Mizugaki

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-10-0 Eddie Wineland · UFC
8-6-0 Takeya Mizugaki · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-10-0
UFC record
8-6-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
42.1
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
42.6
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
69"
ReachΔ 0"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
49.6
Layoff (months)Δ 66 mo
115.6
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Eddie Wineland carries real power — 0.79 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Eddie Wineland rarely shoots — 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Takeya Mizugaki owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Eddie Wineland

Full career not yet synced for Eddie Wineland — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Takeya Mizugaki

Full career not yet synced for Takeya Mizugaki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5273.49/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
6133.79/min · norm 3.52
6594.36/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
5173.20/min · norm 3.58
29.5%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
40.0%norm 43.4%
61.5%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.1%norm 56.6%
80.79/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
30.28/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Eddie Wineland

Distance 94.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 6.5%)

Takeya Mizugaki

Distance 77.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Eddie Wineland

Head 86.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 8.4%)

Takeya Mizugaki

Head 85.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Wineland L/AAccBantamweight med Mizugaki L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 465 / 1678 27.7% 39.0% 421 / 1193 35.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 21 / 34 61.8% 68.7% 99 / 179 55.3% 68.7%
On the ground 41 / 72 56.9% 70.2% 93 / 159 58.5% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 387 / 1541 25.1% 34.9% 443 / 1306 33.9% 34.9%
To the body 109 / 202 54.0% 66.8% 121 / 154 78.6% 66.8%
To the legs 31 / 41 75.6% 79.4% 49 / 71 69.0% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Wineland L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Mizugaki L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 572 / 1579 36.2% 39.3% 354 / 1020 34.7% 39.3%
In the clinch 50 / 65 76.9% 70.4% 128 / 167 76.6% 70.4%
On the ground 37 / 68 54.4% 72.4% 35 / 48 72.9% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 392 / 1310 29.9% 34.9% 324 / 998 32.5% 34.9%
To the body 129 / 228 56.6% 66.0% 149 / 187 79.7% 66.0%
To the legs 138 / 174 79.3% 79.1% 44 / 50 88.0% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

323.1% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1650.0% acc · 1.49/15 · norm 1.12
4293.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4070.2% def · norm 66.7%
4:483.2% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
42:5726.6% of cage time · norm 17.4%
8:110:48 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
34:543:14 per 15 · norm 2:24
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.09/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Wineland has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.