BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Eddie Wineland vs.
John Castaneda

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-10-0 Eddie Wineland · UFC
4-4-1 John Castaneda · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-10-0
UFC record
4-4-1
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
42.1
AgeΔ 7.5 yrs
34.6
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
49.6
Layoff (months)Δ 46 mo
3.6
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
DLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Eddie Wineland carries real power — 0.79 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
John Castaneda carries real power — 0.52 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Eddie Wineland rarely shoots — 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Eddie Wineland

Full career not yet synced for Eddie Wineland — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

John Castaneda

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 143

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5273.49/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
5995.17/min · norm 3.52
6594.36/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
6355.48/min · norm 3.58
29.5%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
51.6%norm 43.4%
61.5%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 56.6%
80.79/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
40.52/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Eddie Wineland

Distance 94.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 6.5%)

John Castaneda

Distance 92.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Eddie Wineland

Head 86.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 8.4%)

John Castaneda

Head 69.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Wineland L/AAccBantamweight med Castaneda L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 465 / 1678 27.7% 39.0% 540 / 1078 50.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 21 / 34 61.8% 68.7% 38 / 55 69.1% 68.7%
On the ground 41 / 72 56.9% 70.2% 21 / 27 77.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 387 / 1541 25.1% 34.9% 341 / 810 42.1% 34.9%
To the body 109 / 202 54.0% 66.8% 94 / 145 64.8% 66.8%
To the legs 31 / 41 75.6% 79.4% 164 / 205 80.0% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Wineland L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Castaneda L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 572 / 1579 36.2% 39.3% 563 / 1240 45.4% 39.3%
In the clinch 50 / 65 76.9% 70.4% 67 / 100 67.0% 70.4%
On the ground 37 / 68 54.4% 72.4% 5 / 9 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 392 / 1310 29.9% 34.9% 396 / 1031 38.4% 34.9%
To the body 129 / 228 56.6% 66.0% 117 / 164 71.3% 66.0%
To the legs 138 / 174 79.3% 79.1% 122 / 154 79.2% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

323.1% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1139.3% acc · 1.42/15 · norm 1.12
4293.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1878.3% def · norm 66.7%
4:483.2% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
18:5516.3% of cage time · norm 17.4%
8:110:48 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
5:590:46 per 15 · norm 2:24
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.13/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Wineland has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.