BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Eddie Alvarez vs.
Gilbert Melendez

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 (1 NC) Eddie Alvarez · UFC
1-6-0 Gilbert Melendez · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-6-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
42.6
AgeΔ 1.7 yrs
44.3
5'9"
HeightΔ 0"
5'9"
69"
ReachΔ 4"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
96.3
Layoff (months)Δ 11.3 mo
85
LWNCLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Gilbert Melendez rarely shoots — 0.42 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Eddie Alvarez absorbs 5.33 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Eddie Alvarez hunts takedowns — 2.02 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Eddie Alvarez

Full career not yet synced for Eddie Alvarez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.9 wins over .500

Gilbert Melendez

Full career not yet synced for Gilbert Melendez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4004.50/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2942.75/min · norm 3.42
4745.33/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4253.98/min · norm 3.37
41.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
28.9%norm 43.5%
53.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.1%norm 56.3%
10.17/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Eddie Alvarez

Distance 87.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.0%)

Gilbert Melendez

Distance 93.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Eddie Alvarez

Head 80.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 7.9%)

Gilbert Melendez

Head 89.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alvarez L/AAccLightweight med Melendez L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 313 / 847 37.0% 37.9% 257 / 953 27.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 71 / 104 68.3% 67.3% 30 / 54 55.6% 67.3%
On the ground 16 / 19 too few to rate 69.1% 7 / 12 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 263 / 776 33.9% 35.0% 229 / 914 25.1% 35.0%
To the body 101 / 147 68.7% 69.1% 45 / 74 60.8% 69.1%
To the legs 36 / 47 76.6% 81.9% 20 / 31 64.5% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alvarez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Melendez L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 399 / 910 43.8% 38.9% 388 / 983 39.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 63 / 89 70.8% 68.6% 21 / 33 63.6% 68.6%
On the ground 12 / 26 46.2% 68.0% 16 / 24 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 307 / 820 37.4% 35.1% 228 / 779 29.3% 35.1%
To the body 81 / 112 72.3% 68.1% 88 / 131 67.2% 68.1%
To the legs 86 / 93 92.5% 81.5% 109 / 130 83.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1226.1% acc · 2.02/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
316.7% acc · 0.42/15 · norm 1.38
5100.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1875.0% def · norm 64.0%
17:2219.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
5:515.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
3:240:34 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
9:001:15 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.17/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alvarez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.