BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ed Herman vs.
Patrick Cummins

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-12-0 (1 NC) Ed Herman · UFC
6-7-0 Patrick Cummins · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-12-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
6-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
45
AgeΔ 0 yrs
45
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
77"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
39.7
Layoff (months)Δ 46.9 mo
86.6
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Patrick Cummins hunts takedowns — 4.49 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Patrick Cummins owns the mat — in control 40% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Ed Herman is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ed Herman

Full career not yet synced for Ed Herman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Patrick Cummins

Full career not yet synced for Patrick Cummins — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8513.31/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4984.26/min · norm 3.41
9513.70/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3913.35/min · norm 3.35
48.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
50.8%norm 48.3%
42.4%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
55.9%norm 52.9%
40.23/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ed Herman

Distance 65.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 19.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 10.3%)

Patrick Cummins

Distance 61.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 26.3% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ed Herman

Head 78.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Patrick Cummins

Head 88.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.9% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 4.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Herman L/AAccMiddleweight med Cummins L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 423 / 1134 37.3% 40.5% 224 / 603 37.1% 41.4%
In the clinch 237 / 336 70.5% 70.3% 85 / 120 70.8% 70.9%
On the ground 191 / 274 69.7% 69.1% 189 / 258 73.3% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 536 / 1363 39.3% 38.9% 409 / 867 47.2% 38.9%
To the body 214 / 262 81.7% 71.7% 51 / 68 75.0% 71.9%
To the legs 101 / 119 84.9% 83.3% 38 / 46 82.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Herman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Cummins L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 612 / 1191 51.4% 39.5% 281 / 739 38.0% 40.4%
In the clinch 189 / 239 79.1% 70.9% 57 / 82 69.5% 68.7%
On the ground 150 / 222 67.6% 69.0% 53 / 65 81.5% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 631 / 1266 49.8% 37.9% 326 / 798 40.9% 37.5%
To the body 172 / 222 77.5% 71.3% 45 / 61 73.8% 72.3%
To the legs 148 / 164 90.2% 82.1% 20 / 27 74.1% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3447.9% acc · 1.99/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
3541.2% acc · 4.49/15 · norm 0.87
3861.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
628.6% def · norm 66.7%
70:1827.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
47:0640.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
75:064:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
11:321:28 per 15 · norm 2:48
170.99/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.13/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Herman has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.