BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ed Herman vs.
Nikita Krylov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-12-0 (1 NC) Ed Herman · UFC
12-10-0 Nikita Krylov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-12-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
12-10-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
45.8
AgeΔ 11.4 yrs
34.4
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
77"
ReachΔ 0"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
39.7
Layoff (months)Δ 38.8 mo
0.9
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nikita Krylov is a submission threat — 1.14 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Nikita Krylov hunts takedowns — 2.19 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Ed Herman is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ed Herman

Full career not yet synced for Ed Herman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Nikita Krylov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1210
Tier 3 — regional circuit 192

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 29 finish wins over 43 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8513.31/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
6894.38/min · norm 3.41
9513.70/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4332.75/min · norm 3.35
48.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
54.2%norm 48.3%
42.4%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
48.1%norm 52.9%
40.23/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
60.57/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ed Herman

Distance 65.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 19.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 10.3%)

Nikita Krylov

Distance 72.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 15.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.3% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ed Herman

Head 78.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Nikita Krylov

Head 69.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 20.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Herman L/AAccMiddleweight med Krylov L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 423 / 1134 37.3% 40.5% 408 / 916 44.5% 41.4%
In the clinch 237 / 336 70.5% 70.3% 156 / 199 78.4% 70.9%
On the ground 191 / 274 69.7% 69.1% 125 / 156 80.1% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 536 / 1363 39.3% 38.9% 406 / 883 46.0% 38.9%
To the body 214 / 262 81.7% 71.7% 171 / 255 67.1% 71.9%
To the legs 101 / 119 84.9% 83.3% 112 / 133 84.2% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Herman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Krylov L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 612 / 1191 51.4% 39.5% 274 / 608 45.1% 40.4%
In the clinch 189 / 239 79.1% 70.9% 68 / 98 69.4% 68.7%
On the ground 150 / 222 67.6% 69.0% 91 / 129 70.5% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 631 / 1266 49.8% 37.9% 374 / 761 49.1% 37.5%
To the body 172 / 222 77.5% 71.3% 37 / 50 74.0% 72.3%
To the legs 148 / 164 90.2% 82.1% 22 / 24 too few to rate 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3447.9% acc · 1.99/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2338.3% acc · 2.19/15 · norm 0.87
3861.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2553.2% def · norm 66.7%
70:1827.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
55:3835.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
75:064:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
36:413:29 per 15 · norm 2:48
170.99/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
121.14/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Herman has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.