BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Duane Ludwig vs.
Darren Elkins

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 Duane Ludwig · UFC
19-11-0 Darren Elkins · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
19-11-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
48
AgeΔ 5.8 yrs
42.2
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
166.2
Layoff (months)Δ 150.4 mo
15.8
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Darren Elkins hunts takedowns — 2.87 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Darren Elkins is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Duane Ludwig rarely shoots — 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Duane Ludwig

Full career not yet synced for Duane Ludwig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Darren Elkins

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1911
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.15 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3075.32/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
11903.40/min · norm 3.54
2163.74/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
11693.34/min · norm 3.47
41.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
38.4%norm 45.0%
58.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
51.2%norm 54.85%
10.26/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.09/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Duane Ludwig

Distance 81.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.5% (norm 8.1%)

Darren Elkins

Distance 75.8% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 12.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Duane Ludwig

Head 76.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 8.4%)

Darren Elkins

Head 86.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ludwig L/AAccWelterweight med Elkins L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 210 / 605 34.7% 38.6% 685 / 2348 29.2% 40.9%
In the clinch 79 / 112 70.5% 67.8% 242 / 363 66.7% 70.8%
On the ground 18 / 26 69.2% 67.2% 263 / 385 68.3% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 183 / 566 32.3% 37.2% 904 / 2670 33.9% 37.2%
To the body 99 / 145 68.3% 70.7% 235 / 359 65.5% 68.2%
To the legs 25 / 32 78.1% 82.9% 51 / 67 76.1% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ludwig L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Elkins L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 166 / 419 39.6% 39.0% 817 / 1924 42.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 19 / 31 61.3% 68.9% 166 / 227 73.1% 70.3%
On the ground 31 / 67 46.3% 68.0% 186 / 244 76.2% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 115 / 360 31.9% 35.6% 853 / 1992 42.8% 35.9%
To the body 38 / 81 46.9% 69.6% 182 / 245 74.3% 67.9%
To the legs 63 / 76 82.9% 82.1% 134 / 158 84.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

116.7% acc · 0.26/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
6734.0% acc · 2.87/15 · norm 1.19
1967.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3256.1% def · norm 61.5%
7:2112.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
129:0236.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
16:504:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
53:462:18 per 15 · norm 3:12
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
251.07/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elkins has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.