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Drew Dober vs. Sean Spencer

UFC 15-11-0 (1 NC) vs. 3-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
3-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
39
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 4"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
7.5
Layoff (months)Δ 113.8 mo
121.3
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Sean Spencer rarely shoots — 0.14 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Sean Spencer

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 45
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 11
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.54 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9944.48/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
4564.24/min · norm 3.17
9604.33/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4324.02/min · norm 3.08
41.0%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
32.4%norm 44.75%
53.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
60.7%norm 55.25%
100.68/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.42/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

Sean Spencer

Distance 92.6% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Sean Spencer

Head 87.1% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dober L/AAccLightweight med Spencer L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 2128 37.1% 38.3% 391 / 1302 30.0% 38.5%
In the clinch 111 / 170 65.3% 67.5% 49 / 84 58.3% 67.8%
On the ground 93 / 125 74.4% 68.8% 16 / 20 too few to rate 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.1% 345 / 1225 28.2% 36.4%
To the body 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1% 77 / 136 56.6% 70.7%
To the legs 141 / 175 80.6% 81.8% 34 / 45 75.6% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Spencer L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.8% 332 / 947 35.1% 39.1%
In the clinch 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6% 60 / 97 61.9% 68.9%
On the ground 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0% 40 / 56 71.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.2% 278 / 898 31.0% 35.6%
To the body 197 / 279 70.6% 68.2% 54 / 98 55.1% 69.6%
To the legs 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5% 100 / 104 96.2% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.14/15 · norm 1.31
3958.2% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
4069.0% def · norm 63.9%
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
7:006.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
23:143:14 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.07/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.