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Drew Dober vs. Kyle Prepolec

UFC 15-11-0 (1 NC) vs. 0-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
0-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
37
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
7.5
Layoff (months)Δ 4.9 mo
2.6
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Kyle Prepolec rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Kyle Prepolec absorbs 6.59 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.38 Lightweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Kyle Prepolec

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 16
Tier 3 — regional circuit 175

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.41 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9944.48/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
1613.01/min · norm 3.44
9604.33/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3536.59/min · norm 3.38
41.0%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
33.6%norm 43.65%
53.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
45.0%norm 56.3%
100.68/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

Kyle Prepolec

Distance 98.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 1.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 0.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Kyle Prepolec

Head 78.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dober L/AAccLightweight med Prepolec L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 2128 37.1% 38.3% 155 / 471 32.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 111 / 170 65.3% 67.5% 5 / 7 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 93 / 125 74.4% 68.8% 1 / 1 too few to rate 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.1% 98 / 377 26.0% 35.1%
To the body 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1% 40 / 65 61.5% 69.1%
To the legs 141 / 175 80.6% 81.8% 23 / 37 62.2% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Prepolec L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.8% 238 / 499 47.7% 38.8%
In the clinch 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6% 28 / 32 87.5% 68.6%
On the ground 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0% 87 / 111 78.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.2% 205 / 454 45.2% 35.2%
To the body 197 / 279 70.6% 68.2% 74 / 104 71.2% 68.2%
To the legs 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5% 74 / 84 88.1% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.34
3958.2% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
541.7% def · norm 63.7%
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
0:561.7% of cage time · norm 18.95%
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
15:254:19 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.07/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.