BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Drew Dober vs.
Jean Silva

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-11-0 (1 NC) Drew Dober · UFC
1-0-0 Jean Silva · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-0-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37.8
AgeΔ 11 yrs
48.8
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'6"
70"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5
Layoff (months)Δ 19.8 mo
24.8
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
W
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jean Silva rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Jean Silva

Full career not yet synced for Jean Silva — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9944.48/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
534.62/min · norm 3.42
9604.33/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
595.15/min · norm 3.37
41.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
48.6%norm 43.5%
53.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.9%norm 56.3%
100.68/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

Jean Silva

Distance 92.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Jean Silva

Head 81.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dober L/AAccLightweight med Silva L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 2128 37.1% 37.9% 48 / 101 47.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 111 / 170 65.3% 67.3% 5 / 7 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 93 / 125 74.4% 69.1% 0 / 1 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.0% 37 / 89 41.6% 35.0%
To the body 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1% 15 / 19 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 141 / 175 80.6% 81.9% 1 / 1 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Silva L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.9% 55 / 138 39.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6% 4 / 9 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.1% 29 / 109 26.6% 35.1%
To the body 197 / 279 70.6% 68.1% 21 / 28 75.0% 68.1%
To the legs 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5% 9 / 10 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
3958.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4100.0% def · norm 64.0%
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
0:300:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.07/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.