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Drew Dober vs. Alexander Hernandez

UFC 15-11-0 (1 NC) vs. 11-8-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
11-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38
AgeΔ 4 yrs
34
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
7.5
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
0.6
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Alexander Hernandez carries real power — 0.62 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Alexander Hernandez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.04 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9944.48/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
8254.24/min · norm 3.44
9604.33/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8574.40/min · norm 3.38
41.0%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
40.5%norm 43.65%
53.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.6%norm 56.3%
100.68/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
80.62/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

Alexander Hernandez

Distance 90.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Alexander Hernandez

Head 72.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 19.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dober L/AAccLightweight med Hernandez L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 2128 37.1% 38.3% 695 / 1842 37.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 111 / 170 65.3% 67.5% 61 / 92 66.3% 67.5%
On the ground 93 / 125 74.4% 68.8% 69 / 103 67.0% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.1% 465 / 1484 31.3% 35.1%
To the body 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1% 252 / 400 63.0% 69.1%
To the legs 141 / 175 80.6% 81.8% 108 / 153 70.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Hernandez L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.8% 737 / 1952 37.8% 38.8%
In the clinch 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6% 86 / 124 69.4% 68.6%
On the ground 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0% 34 / 46 73.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.2% 515 / 1627 31.7% 35.2%
To the body 197 / 279 70.6% 68.2% 203 / 324 62.7% 68.2%
To the legs 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5% 139 / 171 81.3% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1335.1% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.34
3958.2% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
3368.8% def · norm 63.7%
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
26:5213.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
17:121:19 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.07/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
10.08/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.