BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Donald Cerrone vs.
Edson Barboza

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

23-14-0 (1 NC) Donald Cerrone · UFC
18-14-0 Edson Barboza · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

23-14-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
18-14-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 3 yrs
40
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
73"
ReachΔ 2"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
49.1
Layoff (months)Δ 41.1 mo
8
LLNCLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Donald Cerrone carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Edson Barboza carries real power — 0.63 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Edson Barboza rarely shoots — 0.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Donald Cerrone

Full career not yet synced for Donald Cerrone — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 20-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Edson Barboza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1814
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.06 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-12 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

17484.90/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
15864.14/min · norm 3.42
18255.11/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
17924.68/min · norm 3.37
47.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.7%norm 43.5%
51.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.7%norm 56.3%
200.84/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
160.63/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Donald Cerrone

Distance 89.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)

Edson Barboza

Distance 94.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Donald Cerrone

Head 71.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.9%)

Edson Barboza

Head 65.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cerrone L/AAccLightweight med Barboza L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1478 / 3290 44.9% 37.9% 1447 / 3362 43.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 151 / 229 65.9% 67.3% 79 / 97 81.4% 67.3%
On the ground 119 / 172 69.2% 69.1% 60 / 92 65.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 893 / 2630 34.0% 35.0% 694 / 2329 29.8% 35.0%
To the body 442 / 589 75.0% 69.1% 500 / 720 69.4% 69.1%
To the legs 413 / 472 87.5% 81.9% 392 / 502 78.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cerrone L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Barboza L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1558 / 3375 46.2% 38.9% 1445 / 3555 40.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 211 / 305 69.2% 68.6% 76 / 116 65.5% 68.6%
On the ground 56 / 88 63.6% 68.0% 271 / 373 72.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1069 / 2721 39.3% 35.1% 1302 / 3359 38.8% 35.1%
To the body 444 / 668 66.5% 68.1% 244 / 387 63.0% 68.1%
To the legs 312 / 379 82.3% 81.5% 246 / 298 82.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2428.9% acc · 1.01/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1150.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.38
6288.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
7673.1% def · norm 64.0%
38:3610.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
24:396.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
19:550:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
66:532:37 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.46/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.08/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerrone has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.