BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Donald Cerrone vs.
Adriano Martins

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

23-14-0 (1 NC) Donald Cerrone · UFC
4-3-0 Adriano Martins · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

23-14-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43.4
AgeΔ 0.2 yrs
43.6
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
49.1
Layoff (months)Δ 57.8 mo
106.9
LLNCLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Donald Cerrone carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Adriano Martins carries real power — 0.52 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Adriano Martins defends head shots well — opponents land just 16%, vs a 35% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Donald Cerrone

Full career not yet synced for Donald Cerrone — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 20-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Adriano Martins

Full career not yet synced for Adriano Martins — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

17484.90/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1031.79/min · norm 3.42
18255.11/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1081.88/min · norm 3.37
47.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.0%norm 43.5%
51.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
68.4%norm 56.3%
200.84/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.52/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Donald Cerrone

Distance 89.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)

Adriano Martins

Distance 94.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Donald Cerrone

Head 71.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.9%)

Adriano Martins

Head 73.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 18.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cerrone L/AAccLightweight med Martins L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1478 / 3290 44.9% 37.9% 96 / 220 43.6% 37.9%
In the clinch 151 / 229 65.9% 67.3% 0 / 3 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 119 / 172 69.2% 69.1% 7 / 11 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 893 / 2630 34.0% 35.0% 55 / 173 31.8% 35.0%
To the body 442 / 589 75.0% 69.1% 11 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 413 / 472 87.5% 81.9% 37 / 44 84.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cerrone L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Martins L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1558 / 3375 46.2% 38.9% 104 / 336 31.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 211 / 305 69.2% 68.6% 2 / 4 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 56 / 88 63.6% 68.0% 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1069 / 2721 39.3% 35.1% 35 / 214 16.4% 35.1%
To the body 444 / 668 66.5% 68.1% 39 / 74 52.7% 68.1%
To the legs 312 / 379 82.3% 81.5% 34 / 54 63.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2428.9% acc · 1.01/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
480.0% acc · 1.04/15 · norm 1.38
6288.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
685.7% def · norm 64.0%
38:3610.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
6:1610.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
19:550:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
0:150:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.46/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.52/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerrone has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.