BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dominick Reyes vs.
Carlos Ulberg

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-5-0 Dominick Reyes · UFC
10-1-0 Carlos Ulberg · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-5-0
UFC record
10-1-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
36.6
AgeΔ 0.9 yrs
35.7
6'4"
HeightΔ 0"
6'4"
77"
ReachΔ 0"
77"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
3.8
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carlos Ulberg carries real power — 1.25 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Dominick Reyes carries real power — 0.89 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Carlos Ulberg outworks the Light Heavyweight division — 6.61 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.41 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dominick Reyes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.44 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.7 wins over .500

Carlos Ulberg

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 111
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.2 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5884.99/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
5536.61/min · norm 3.41
4013.40/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
3384.04/min · norm 3.35
53.6%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
56.0%norm 48.3%
49.6%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
50.7%norm 52.9%
70.89/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
71.25/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dominick Reyes

Distance 82.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 10.4%)

Carlos Ulberg

Distance 91.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 5.5% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dominick Reyes

Head 70.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 9.7%)

Carlos Ulberg

Head 74.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 14.1% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Reyes L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Ulberg L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 440 / 908 48.5% 41.4% 488 / 906 53.9% 41.4%
In the clinch 60 / 74 81.1% 70.9% 23 / 27 85.2% 70.9%
On the ground 88 / 114 77.2% 72.3% 42 / 54 77.8% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 331 / 771 42.9% 38.9% 338 / 730 46.3% 38.9%
To the body 141 / 190 74.2% 71.9% 90 / 118 76.3% 71.9%
To the legs 116 / 135 85.9% 81.8% 125 / 139 89.9% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Reyes L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Ulberg L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 371 / 746 49.7% 40.4% 324 / 663 48.9% 40.4%
In the clinch 16 / 26 61.5% 68.7% 7 / 14 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 14 / 23 too few to rate 70.4% 7 / 8 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 212 / 542 39.1% 37.5% 178 / 462 38.5% 37.5%
To the body 82 / 115 71.3% 72.3% 49 / 90 54.4% 72.3%
To the legs 107 / 138 77.5% 83.0% 111 / 133 83.5% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

228.6% acc · 0.25/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
360.0% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 0.87
3482.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
685.7% def · norm 66.7%
8:157.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
3:354.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
8:541:07 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
0:450:08 per 15 · norm 2:48
20.25/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
10.18/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Reyes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.