BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dominic Waters vs.
George Sullivan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Dominic Waters · UFC
3-4-0 George Sullivan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
37.3
AgeΔ 8.1 yrs
45.4
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
79"
ReachΔ 6"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
122.9
Layoff (months)Δ 27.5 mo
95.4
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Dominic Waters hunts takedowns — 4.07 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Dominic Waters owns the mat — in control 41% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
George Sullivan owns the mat — in control 29% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dominic Waters

Full career not yet synced for Dominic Waters — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

George Sullivan

Full career not yet synced for George Sullivan — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

160.48/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2323.53/min · norm 3.17
842.53/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1592.42/min · norm 3.06
23.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.9%
39.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.6%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dominic Waters

Distance 92.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.1%)

George Sullivan

Distance 77.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 15.8% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dominic Waters

Head 91.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 4.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 8.4%)

George Sullivan

Head 75.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Waters L/AAccWelterweight med Sullivan L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 13 / 64 20.3% 38.6% 131 / 449 29.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 1 / 3 too few to rate 67.8% 32 / 42 76.2% 67.8%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 67.2% 69 / 92 75.0% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 13 / 63 20.6% 37.2% 133 / 438 30.4% 37.2%
To the body 3 / 3 too few to rate 70.7% 53 / 84 63.1% 70.7%
To the legs 0 / 3 too few to rate 82.9% 46 / 61 75.4% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Waters L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Sullivan L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 29 / 69 42.0% 39.0% 112 / 302 37.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 12 / 12 too few to rate 68.9% 26 / 44 59.1% 68.9%
On the ground 43 / 58 74.1% 68.0% 21 / 29 72.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 51 / 100 51.0% 35.6% 86 / 264 32.6% 35.6%
To the body 26 / 30 86.7% 69.6% 36 / 71 50.7% 69.6%
To the legs 7 / 9 too few to rate 82.1% 37 / 40 92.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

952.9% acc · 4.07/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
620.7% acc · 1.37/15 · norm 1.27
228.6% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1038.5% def · norm 63.9%
13:3440.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
19:0229.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
11:115:03 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
14:403:20 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.69/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sullivan has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.