BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Diyar Nurgozhay vs.
Bruno Lopes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Diyar Nurgozhay · UFC
1-2-0 Bruno Lopes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
29
AgeΔ 4 yrs
33
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 0"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5
Layoff (months)Δ 0.7 mo
4.3
WLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bruno Lopes hunts takedowns — 2.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Bruno Lopes owns the mat — in control 40% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Diyar Nurgozhay hunts takedowns — 1.86 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Diyar Nurgozhay

Full career not yet synced for Diyar Nurgozhay — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

Bruno Lopes

Full career not yet synced for Bruno Lopes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1184.87/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
642.47/min · norm 3.41
692.85/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1114.28/min · norm 3.35
61.1%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
45.1%norm 48.3%
58.9%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
48.4%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Diyar Nurgozhay

Distance 87.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 10.4%)

Bruno Lopes

Distance 72.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 23.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 3.5% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Diyar Nurgozhay

Head 49.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 33.7% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 17.1% (norm 9.7%)

Bruno Lopes

Head 66.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.9% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 16.9% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nurgozhay L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Lopes L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 104 / 169 61.5% 41.4% 33 / 103 32.0% 41.4%
In the clinch 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.9% 28 / 34 82.4% 70.9%
On the ground 8 / 15 too few to rate 72.3% 3 / 5 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 39 / 95 41.1% 38.9% 37 / 94 39.4% 38.9%
To the body 47 / 65 72.3% 71.9% 17 / 24 too few to rate 71.9%
To the legs 32 / 33 97.0% 81.8% 10 / 24 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nurgozhay L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Lopes L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 56 / 150 37.3% 40.4% 78 / 171 45.6% 40.4%
In the clinch 4 / 6 too few to rate 68.7% 15 / 24 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 9 / 12 too few to rate 70.4% 18 / 20 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 43 / 125 34.4% 37.5% 55 / 142 38.7% 37.5%
To the body 12 / 24 too few to rate 72.3% 31 / 40 77.5% 72.3%
To the legs 14 / 19 too few to rate 83.0% 25 / 33 75.8% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

375.0% acc · 1.86/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
522.7% acc · 2.89/15 · norm 0.87
777.8% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3100.0% def · norm 66.7%
2:3510.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
10:1939.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
3:552:25 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
2:151:18 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nurgozhay has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.