BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Din Thomas vs.
Matt Serra

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-4-0 Din Thomas · UFC
7-7-0 Matt Serra · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-4-0
UFC record
7-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
49.9
AgeΔ 2.3 yrs
52.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
5'6"
Reach
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
220.1
Layoff (months)Δ 29.8 mo
190.3
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Din Thomas is a submission threat — 1.22 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Matt Serra is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Matt Serra owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Din Thomas

Full career not yet synced for Din Thomas — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Matt Serra

Full career not yet synced for Matt Serra — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1821.85/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3331.98/min · norm 3.17
2552.60/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4442.64/min · norm 3.06
37.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.9%
59.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
46.5%norm 55.25%
10.15/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.45/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Din Thomas

Distance 74.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 18.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 8.0%)

Matt Serra

Distance 73.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Din Thomas

Head 90.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.3% (norm 7.9%)

Matt Serra

Head 75.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Thomas L/AAccLightweight med Serra L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 102 / 361 28.3% 37.9% 198 / 611 32.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 60 / 90 66.7% 67.3% 59 / 84 70.2% 67.8%
On the ground 20 / 32 62.5% 69.1% 76 / 142 53.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 147 / 438 33.6% 35.0% 171 / 632 27.1% 37.2%
To the body 20 / 29 69.0% 69.1% 112 / 147 76.2% 70.7%
To the legs 15 / 16 too few to rate 81.9% 50 / 58 86.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Thomas L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Serra L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 80 / 340 23.5% 38.9% 255 / 562 45.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 61 / 92 66.3% 68.6% 91 / 111 82.0% 68.9%
On the ground 114 / 191 59.7% 68.0% 98 / 157 62.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 169 / 518 32.6% 35.1% 286 / 658 43.5% 35.6%
To the body 44 / 54 81.5% 68.1% 125 / 134 93.3% 69.6%
To the legs 42 / 51 82.4% 81.5% 33 / 38 86.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

952.9% acc · 1.38/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2320.9% acc · 2.05/15 · norm 1.27
4676.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1238.7% def · norm 63.9%
22:2722.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
57:3434.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
34:435:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
35:183:08 per 15 · norm 3:15
81.22/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
100.89/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Serra has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.