BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Devonte Smith vs.
Justin Jaynes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-3-0 Devonte Smith · UFC
1-4-0 Justin Jaynes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-3-0
UFC record
1-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
33
AgeΔ 3 yrs
36
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
76"
ReachΔ 8"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
53.1
Layoff (months)Δ 8.2 mo
61.3
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Devonte Smith carries real power — 0.74 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Justin Jaynes carries real power — 0.75 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Justin Jaynes is a submission threat — 1.12 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Devonte Smith

Full career not yet synced for Devonte Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Justin Jaynes

Full career not yet synced for Justin Jaynes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1634.04/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1343.34/min · norm 3.54
1523.76/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2145.33/min · norm 3.47
51.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.4%norm 45.0%
48.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
62.9%norm 54.85%
20.74/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.75/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Devonte Smith

Distance 80.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.0%)

Justin Jaynes

Distance 91.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.6% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Devonte Smith

Head 73.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.9%)

Justin Jaynes

Head 84.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.2% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 2.0% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Smith L/AAccLightweight med Jaynes L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 117 / 255 45.9% 37.9% 115 / 276 41.7% 40.9%
In the clinch 30 / 38 78.9% 67.3% 8 / 9 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 16 / 23 too few to rate 69.1% 11 / 17 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 94 / 231 40.7% 35.0% 98 / 256 38.3% 37.2%
To the body 37 / 50 74.0% 69.1% 31 / 40 77.5% 68.2%
To the legs 32 / 35 91.4% 81.9% 5 / 6 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Smith L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Jaynes L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 109 / 235 46.4% 38.9% 192 / 539 35.6% 39.2%
In the clinch 33 / 45 73.3% 68.6% 6 / 11 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 10 / 17 too few to rate 68.0% 16 / 27 59.3% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 63 / 180 35.0% 35.1% 143 / 484 29.5% 35.9%
To the body 53 / 71 74.6% 68.1% 46 / 65 70.8% 67.9%
To the legs 36 / 46 78.3% 81.5% 25 / 28 89.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

125.0% acc · 0.37/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
240.0% acc · 0.75/15 · norm 1.19
583.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
120.0% def · norm 61.5%
3:278.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
3:469.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
7:402:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
8:093:02 per 15 · norm 3:12
10.37/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
31.12/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.