BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Derek Brunson vs.
Robert Whittaker

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-7-0 Derek Brunson · UFC
18-7-0 Robert Whittaker · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-7-0
UFC record
18-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
42
AgeΔ 7 yrs
35
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
77"
ReachΔ 4"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
41.1
Layoff (months)Δ 40.2 mo
0.9
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Derek Brunson hunts takedowns — 3.00 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Derek Brunson owns the mat — in control 39% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Robert Whittaker carries real power — 0.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Derek Brunson

Full career not yet synced for Derek Brunson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Robert Whittaker

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 187
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.3 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6483.60/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
14894.41/min · norm 3.25
5733.18/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
11483.40/min · norm 3.20
46.6%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
43.4%norm 47.4%
50.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
59.2%norm 53.8%
60.50/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
120.53/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Derek Brunson

Distance 72.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 10.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 10.3%)

Robert Whittaker

Distance 90.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.6% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Derek Brunson

Head 79.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 8.4%)

Robert Whittaker

Head 83.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 7.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Brunson L/AAccMiddleweight med Whittaker L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 405 / 1004 40.3% 40.5% 1288 / 3106 41.5% 40.5%
In the clinch 96 / 145 66.2% 70.3% 100 / 167 59.9% 70.3%
On the ground 147 / 242 60.7% 69.1% 101 / 159 63.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 457 / 1112 41.1% 38.9% 1069 / 2869 37.3% 38.9%
To the body 99 / 149 66.4% 71.7% 153 / 250 61.2% 71.7%
To the legs 92 / 130 70.8% 83.3% 267 / 313 85.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Brunson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Whittaker L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 423 / 973 43.5% 39.5% 965 / 2563 37.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 91 / 123 74.0% 70.9% 120 / 172 69.8% 70.9%
On the ground 59 / 71 83.1% 69.0% 63 / 77 81.8% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 341 / 848 40.2% 37.9% 645 / 2110 30.6% 37.9%
To the body 151 / 198 76.3% 71.3% 234 / 378 61.9% 71.3%
To the legs 81 / 121 66.9% 82.1% 269 / 324 83.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3631.6% acc · 3.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1638.1% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.42
1684.2% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
7680.0% def · norm 63.1%
69:3338.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
26:397.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
4:470:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
36:231:36 per 15 · norm 3:00
70.58/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Whittaker has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.