BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dennis Siver vs.
Naoyuki Kotani

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-8-0 (1 NC) Dennis Siver · UFC
0-5-0 Naoyuki Kotani · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-8-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
0-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
47
AgeΔ 3 yrs
44
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 4"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
109.4
Layoff (months)Δ 20.9 mo
130.3
WLLWNC
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Dennis Siver carries real power — 0.47 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Naoyuki Kotani is a submission threat — 0.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Dennis Siver is wasteful with clinch strikes — only 37% land, vs a 67% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dennis Siver

Full career not yet synced for Dennis Siver — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Naoyuki Kotani

Full career not yet synced for Naoyuki Kotani — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8693.87/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
551.02/min · norm 3.42
5982.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1512.80/min · norm 3.37
32.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
31.3%norm 43.5%
65.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
50.5%norm 56.3%
70.47/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dennis Siver

Distance 90.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

Naoyuki Kotani

Distance 84.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dennis Siver

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 7.9%)

Naoyuki Kotani

Head 70.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 20.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Siver L/AAccLightweight med Kotani L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 737 / 2423 30.4% 37.9% 40 / 149 26.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 46 / 126 36.5% 67.3% 4 / 12 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 86 / 129 66.7% 69.1% 11 / 15 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 494 / 2091 23.6% 35.0% 30 / 124 24.2% 35.0%
To the body 118 / 228 51.8% 69.1% 4 / 16 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 257 / 359 71.6% 81.9% 21 / 36 58.3% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Siver L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Kotani L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 472 / 1477 32.0% 38.9% 47 / 134 35.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 44 / 77 57.1% 68.6% 11 / 22 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 82 / 157 52.2% 68.0% 93 / 149 62.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 372 / 1335 27.9% 35.1% 123 / 262 46.9% 35.1%
To the body 99 / 170 58.2% 68.1% 20 / 26 76.9% 68.1%
To the legs 127 / 206 61.7% 81.5% 8 / 17 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1332.5% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
316.7% acc · 0.84/15 · norm 1.38
3965.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
746.7% def · norm 64.0%
38:0717.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
10:5120.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
39:502:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
17:585:00 per 15 · norm 2:46
50.33/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
30.84/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Siver has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.