BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dennis Siver vs.
Cub Swanson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-8-0 (1 NC) Dennis Siver · UFC
16-10-0 Cub Swanson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-8-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
16-10-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
47.6
AgeΔ 4.8 yrs
42.8
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
109.4
Layoff (months)Δ 105.6 mo
3.8
WLLWNC
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cub Swanson carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Dennis Siver carries real power — 0.47 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Cub Swanson outworks the Featherweight division — 5.30 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.54 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dennis Siver

Full career not yet synced for Dennis Siver — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Cub Swanson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1610
Tier 3 — regional circuit 154

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.93 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8693.87/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
16455.30/min · norm 3.54
5982.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
13804.44/min · norm 3.47
32.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
52.6%norm 45.0%
65.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
58.5%norm 54.85%
70.47/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
120.58/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dennis Siver

Distance 90.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

Cub Swanson

Distance 88.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dennis Siver

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 7.9%)

Cub Swanson

Head 72.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Siver L/AAccLightweight med Swanson L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 737 / 2423 30.4% 37.9% 1363 / 2764 49.3% 40.9%
In the clinch 46 / 126 36.5% 67.3% 160 / 199 80.4% 70.8%
On the ground 86 / 129 66.7% 69.1% 122 / 166 73.5% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 494 / 2091 23.6% 35.0% 992 / 2281 43.5% 37.2%
To the body 118 / 228 51.8% 69.1% 323 / 432 74.8% 68.2%
To the legs 257 / 359 71.6% 81.9% 330 / 416 79.3% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Siver L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Swanson L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 472 / 1477 32.0% 38.9% 1129 / 2932 38.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 44 / 77 57.1% 68.6% 127 / 193 65.8% 70.3%
On the ground 82 / 157 52.2% 68.0% 124 / 204 60.8% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 372 / 1335 27.9% 35.1% 885 / 2628 33.7% 35.9%
To the body 99 / 170 58.2% 68.1% 247 / 370 66.8% 67.9%
To the legs 127 / 206 61.7% 81.5% 248 / 331 74.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1332.5% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1451.9% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.19
3965.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
8272.6% def · norm 61.5%
38:0717.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
22:527.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
39:502:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
58:402:50 per 15 · norm 3:12
50.33/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.10/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Swanson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.