BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Demian Maia vs.
Gilbert Burns

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

22-11-0 Demian Maia · UFC
15-10-0 Gilbert Burns · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

22-11-0
UFC record
15-10-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
48.7
AgeΔ 8.7 yrs
40
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
61.8
Layoff (months)Δ 58.2 mo
3.6
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Demian Maia is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Demian Maia owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Gilbert Burns hunts takedowns — 2.04 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Demian Maia

Full career not yet synced for Demian Maia — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 16-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Gilbert Burns

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1510
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7391.80/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
9743.16/min · norm 3.17
8462.07/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
11353.68/min · norm 3.06
43.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 44.9%
63.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.5%norm 55.25%
10.04/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
40.19/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Demian Maia

Distance 70.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 22.0% (norm 8.1%)

Gilbert Burns

Distance 84.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Demian Maia

Head 88.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.9% (norm 8.4%)

Gilbert Burns

Head 74.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Maia L/AAccWelterweight med Burns L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 371 / 1188 31.2% 38.6% 737 / 1708 43.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 89 / 135 65.9% 67.8% 99 / 144 68.8% 67.8%
On the ground 279 / 373 74.8% 67.2% 138 / 173 79.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 592 / 1493 39.7% 37.2% 571 / 1506 37.9% 37.2%
To the body 108 / 153 70.6% 70.7% 216 / 279 77.4% 70.7%
To the legs 39 / 50 78.0% 82.9% 187 / 240 77.9% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Maia L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Burns L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 655 / 2026 32.3% 39.0% 957 / 2144 44.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 58 / 95 61.1% 68.9% 89 / 121 73.6% 68.9%
On the ground 133 / 206 64.6% 68.0% 89 / 126 70.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 567 / 1924 29.5% 35.6% 766 / 1896 40.4% 35.6%
To the body 106 / 185 57.3% 69.6% 196 / 298 65.8% 69.6%
To the legs 173 / 218 79.4% 82.1% 173 / 197 87.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6824.8% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
4235.6% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.27
2461.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2253.7% def · norm 63.9%
155:1937.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
70:2122.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
49:591:49 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
36:521:47 per 15 · norm 3:15
270.99/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
90.44/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Maia has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.