BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Demetrious Johnson vs.
Kyoji Horiguchi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-2-1 Demetrious Johnson · UFC
9-2-0 Kyoji Horiguchi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-2-1
UFC record
9-2-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
40
AgeΔ 4.2 yrs
35.8
5'3"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
66"
ReachΔ 0"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
96.1
Layoff (months)Δ 94.6 mo
1.5
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kyoji Horiguchi carries real power — 0.59 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Demetrious Johnson hunts takedowns — 3.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Demetrious Johnson owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Demetrious Johnson

Full career not yet synced for Demetrious Johnson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 12-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Kyoji Horiguchi

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 245
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.66 · 24 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 42 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11733.51/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
5553.64/min · norm 3.49
5821.74/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3172.08/min · norm 3.24
54.5%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
47.6%norm 44.6%
67.2%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
64.0%norm 56.4%
30.13/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
60.59/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Demetrious Johnson

Distance 70.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 21.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 7.3%)

Kyoji Horiguchi

Distance 78.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 12.8% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Demetrious Johnson

Head 60.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 21.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 9.3%)

Kyoji Horiguchi

Head 83.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 11.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Johnson L/AAccFlyweight med Horiguchi L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 665 / 1509 44.1% 40.0% 389 / 917 42.4% 40.0%
In the clinch 359 / 468 76.7% 70.4% 72 / 100 72.0% 70.4%
On the ground 149 / 177 84.2% 69.7% 94 / 149 63.1% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 533 / 1311 40.7% 37.6% 417 / 968 43.1% 37.6%
To the body 369 / 472 78.2% 68.5% 90 / 136 66.2% 68.5%
To the legs 271 / 371 73.0% 80.0% 48 / 62 77.4% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Johnson L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Horiguchi L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 350 / 1431 24.5% 40.1% 237 / 766 30.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 200 / 292 68.5% 68.8% 55 / 82 67.1% 68.8%
On the ground 32 / 49 65.3% 71.1% 25 / 33 75.8% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 249 / 1270 19.6% 35.2% 176 / 660 26.7% 35.2%
To the body 223 / 333 67.0% 68.2% 80 / 138 58.0% 68.2%
To the legs 110 / 169 65.1% 80.3% 61 / 83 73.5% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

7454.8% acc · 3.32/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1740.5% acc · 1.67/15 · norm 1.30
7971.2% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3061.2% def · norm 62.5%
102:1630.6% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
33:1021.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
55:392:29 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
27:122:40 per 15 · norm 2:44
120.54/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.10/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Johnson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.