BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

David Teymur vs.
Jason Novelli

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-1-0 David Teymur · UFC
0-2-0 Jason Novelli · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-1-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37.3
AgeΔ 9.9 yrs
47.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
73"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
90.1
Layoff (months)Δ 26.9 mo
117
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

David Teymur carries real power — 0.71 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jason Novelli is wasteful with head shots — only 15% land, vs a 35% Lightweight norm.
Jason Novelli rarely shoots — 0.70 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

David Teymur

Full career not yet synced for David Teymur — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Jason Novelli

Full career not yet synced for Jason Novelli — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2994.69/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
371.73/min · norm 3.42
2253.53/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
763.55/min · norm 3.37
43.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
24.0%norm 43.5%
55.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
66.5%norm 56.3%
30.71/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

David Teymur

Distance 93.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.7% (norm 8.0%)

Jason Novelli

Distance 96.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

David Teymur

Head 67.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.5% (norm 7.9%)

Jason Novelli

Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Teymur L/AAccLightweight med Novelli L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 270 / 646 41.8% 37.9% 34 / 148 23.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 21 / 34 61.8% 67.3% 1 / 3 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 8 / 12 too few to rate 69.1% 2 / 3 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 134 / 467 28.7% 35.0% 19 / 125 15.2% 35.0%
To the body 61 / 104 58.7% 69.1% 5 / 13 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 104 / 121 86.0% 81.9% 13 / 16 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Teymur L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Novelli L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 200 / 461 43.4% 38.9% 65 / 212 30.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 23 / 42 54.8% 68.6% 0 / 3 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.0% 11 / 12 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 116 / 360 32.2% 35.1% 30 / 162 18.5% 35.1%
To the body 65 / 91 71.4% 68.1% 23 / 34 67.6% 68.1%
To the legs 44 / 54 81.5% 81.5% 23 / 31 74.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

433.3% acc · 0.94/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.38
1477.8% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 64.0%
2:504.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
1:296.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
2:010:28 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
2:351:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Teymur has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.