BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

David Mitchell vs.
Yan Cabral

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-4-0 David Mitchell · UFC
2-3-0 Yan Cabral · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-4-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
46.8
AgeΔ 3.6 yrs
43.2
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
75"
ReachΔ 2"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
153.9
Layoff (months)Δ 31 mo
122.9
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

David Mitchell is a submission threat — 1.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Yan Cabral owns the mat — in control 44% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Yan Cabral is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

David Mitchell

Full career not yet synced for David Mitchell — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Yan Cabral

Full career not yet synced for Yan Cabral — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1181.74/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1151.77/min · norm 3.42
1402.06/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1392.14/min · norm 3.37
32.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
46.7%norm 43.5%
55.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.2%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.23/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

David Mitchell

Distance 77.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.4% (norm 8.1%)

Yan Cabral

Distance 67.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 21.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

David Mitchell

Head 83.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.4%)

Yan Cabral

Head 86.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mitchell L/AAccWelterweight med Cabral L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 69 / 281 24.6% 38.6% 58 / 166 34.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 28 / 48 58.3% 67.8% 19 / 27 70.4% 67.3%
On the ground 21 / 34 61.8% 67.2% 38 / 53 71.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 79 / 302 26.2% 37.2% 88 / 213 41.3% 35.0%
To the body 28 / 39 71.8% 70.7% 14 / 19 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 11 / 22 too few to rate 82.9% 13 / 14 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mitchell L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Cabral L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 66 / 186 35.5% 39.0% 84 / 275 30.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 22 / 42 52.4% 68.9% 25 / 36 69.4% 68.6%
On the ground 52 / 89 58.4% 68.0% 30 / 47 63.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 109 / 275 39.6% 35.6% 88 / 283 31.1% 35.1%
To the body 14 / 22 too few to rate 69.6% 30 / 44 68.2% 68.1%
To the legs 17 / 20 too few to rate 82.1% 21 / 31 67.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

350.0% acc · 0.66/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1130.6% acc · 2.54/15 · norm 1.38
729.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
228.6% def · norm 64.0%
7:4011.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
28:5744.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
36:137:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
14:313:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
91.99/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.92/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mitchell has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.