BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

David Dvorak vs.
Jordan Espinosa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-3-0 David Dvorak · UFC
2-4-0 Jordan Espinosa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-3-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
34.2
AgeΔ 2.5 yrs
36.7
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
37.9
Layoff (months)Δ 27.1 mo
65
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

David Dvorak rarely shoots — 0.58 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Jordan Espinosa rarely shoots — 0.70 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Jordan Espinosa defends clinch strikes well — opponents land just 47%, vs a 69% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

David Dvorak

Full career not yet synced for David Dvorak — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Jordan Espinosa

Full career not yet synced for Jordan Espinosa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2693.48/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
2433.80/min · norm 3.49
2543.29/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
1602.50/min · norm 3.24
43.0%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
49.0%norm 44.6%
59.7%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
61.0%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

David Dvorak

Distance 89.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 8.2% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 1.9% (norm 7.3%)

Jordan Espinosa

Distance 82.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.1% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

David Dvorak

Head 68.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 14.4% (norm 9.3%)

Jordan Espinosa

Head 72.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 11.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 16.1% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dvorak L/AAccFlyweight med Espinosa L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 231 / 562 41.1% 40.0% 175 / 409 42.8% 40.0%
In the clinch 30 / 51 58.8% 70.4% 47 / 60 78.3% 70.4%
On the ground 8 / 12 too few to rate 69.7% 21 / 27 77.8% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 427 32.1% 37.6% 138 / 361 38.2% 37.6%
To the body 58 / 108 53.7% 68.5% 44 / 55 80.0% 68.5%
To the legs 74 / 90 82.2% 80.0% 61 / 80 76.2% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dvorak L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Espinosa L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 213 / 572 37.2% 40.1% 127 / 354 35.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 27 / 35 77.1% 68.8% 18 / 38 47.4% 68.8%
On the ground 14 / 24 too few to rate 71.1% 15 / 18 too few to rate 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 128 / 461 27.8% 35.2% 78 / 283 27.6% 35.2%
To the body 73 / 104 70.2% 68.2% 31 / 56 55.4% 68.2%
To the legs 53 / 66 80.3% 80.3% 51 / 71 71.8% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

330.0% acc · 0.58/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
337.5% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.30
1470.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
758.3% def · norm 62.5%
7:4310.0% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
3:054.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
4:460:55 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
18:444:23 per 15 · norm 2:44
10.19/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dvorak has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.