BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

David Branch vs.
Jared Cannonier

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 David Branch · UFC
11-10-0 Jared Cannonier · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
11-10-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
44.9
AgeΔ 2.5 yrs
42.4
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
78"
ReachΔ 1"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
88.2
Layoff (months)Δ 87.6 mo
0.6
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

David Branch owns the mat — in control 42% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
David Branch hunts takedowns — 2.55 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Jared Cannonier rarely shoots — 0.77 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

David Branch

Full career not yet synced for David Branch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Jared Cannonier

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1110
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1371.66/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
12454.25/min · norm 3.25
1571.91/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
12774.36/min · norm 3.20
39.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
49.4%norm 47.4%
56.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
55.9%norm 53.8%
10.18/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
70.36/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

David Branch

Distance 73.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 17.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.9% (norm 10.3%)

Jared Cannonier

Distance 88.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

David Branch

Head 73.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 8.4%)

Jared Cannonier

Head 76.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Branch L/AAccMiddleweight med Cannonier L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 251 27.1% 40.5% 1007 / 2223 45.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 48 / 59 81.4% 70.3% 146 / 186 78.5% 70.3%
On the ground 21 / 34 61.8% 69.1% 92 / 113 81.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 65 / 251 25.9% 38.9% 779 / 1918 40.6% 38.9%
To the body 41 / 55 74.5% 71.7% 252 / 341 73.9% 71.7%
To the legs 31 / 38 81.6% 83.3% 214 / 263 81.4% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Branch L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Cannonier L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 74 / 241 30.7% 39.5% 1137 / 2668 42.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 36 / 54 66.7% 70.9% 83 / 127 65.4% 70.9%
On the ground 47 / 68 69.1% 69.0% 57 / 98 58.2% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 105 / 292 36.0% 37.9% 870 / 2369 36.7% 37.9%
To the body 29 / 43 67.4% 71.3% 233 / 328 71.0% 71.3%
To the legs 23 / 28 82.1% 82.1% 174 / 196 88.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1432.6% acc · 2.55/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1545.5% acc · 0.77/15 · norm 1.42
743.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
4664.8% def · norm 63.1%
34:1841.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
36:2512.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
12:382:18 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
36:091:51 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cannonier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.