BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dave Herman vs.
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-4-0 Dave Herman · UFC
5-6-0 Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-4-0
UFC record
5-6-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
41.8
AgeΔ 8.4 yrs
50.2
6'4"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
77"
ReachΔ 0"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
157
Layoff (months)Δ 24.8 mo
132.2
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira is a submission threat — 1.61 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira carries real power — 0.64 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Dave Herman carries real power — 0.54 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dave Herman

Full career not yet synced for Dave Herman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Full career not yet synced for Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1254.49/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2642.83/min · norm 3.36
1063.81/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
3603.86/min · norm 3.19
58.7%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
40.8%norm 47.8%
48.8%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 52.5%
10.54/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
40.64/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dave Herman

Distance 76.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 12.2% (norm 9.3%)

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Distance 87.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dave Herman

Head 58.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 19.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 21.6% (norm 7.6%)

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Head 90.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 2.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Herman L/AAccHeavyweight med Nogueira L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 95 / 162 58.6% 40.1% 204 / 565 36.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 14 / 25 56.0% 70.6% 49 / 64 76.6% 70.6%
On the ground 16 / 26 61.5% 70.2% 11 / 18 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 52 / 125 41.6% 38.9% 212 / 586 36.2% 38.9%
To the body 34 / 42 81.0% 76.8% 39 / 48 81.2% 76.8%
To the legs 39 / 46 84.8% 87.8% 13 / 13 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Herman L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Nogueira L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 169 48.5% 40.7% 273 / 682 40.0% 40.7%
In the clinch 11 / 17 too few to rate 70.6% 43 / 68 63.2% 70.6%
On the ground 13 / 21 too few to rate 72.0% 44 / 70 62.9% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 77 / 175 44.0% 38.8% 246 / 681 36.1% 38.8%
To the body 10 / 12 too few to rate 75.1% 54 / 71 76.1% 75.1%
To the legs 19 / 20 too few to rate 84.4% 60 / 68 88.2% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3100.0% acc · 1.62/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
821.6% acc · 1.29/15 · norm 0.95
562.5% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
337.5% def · norm 64.3%
1:536.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
23:2525.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
6:593:45 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
14:102:16 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
101.61/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nogueira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.