BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Darren Till vs.
Kelvin Gastelum

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-5-1 Darren Till · UFC
14-11-0 (1 NC) Kelvin Gastelum · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-5-1
UFC record
14-11-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
33.6
AgeΔ 1.2 yrs
34.8
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
74"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
43.9
Layoff (months)Δ 40.1 mo
3.8
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Darren Till rarely shoots — 0.55 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Kelvin Gastelum carries real power — 0.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Kelvin Gastelum rarely shoots — 1.04 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Darren Till

Full career not yet synced for Darren Till — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.7 wins over .500

Kelvin Gastelum

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3752.30/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
12693.65/min · norm 3.25
5403.31/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
12223.52/min · norm 3.20
46.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 47.4%
56.3%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.3%norm 53.8%
50.46/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
100.43/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Darren Till

Distance 83.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.9% (norm 8.1%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Distance 90.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Darren Till

Head 81.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.1% (norm 8.4%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Head 80.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Till L/AAccWelterweight med Gastelum L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 284 / 669 42.5% 38.6% 1082 / 2695 40.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 39 / 61 63.9% 67.8% 109 / 171 63.7% 70.3%
On the ground 52 / 71 73.2% 67.2% 78 / 129 60.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 258 / 649 39.8% 37.2% 824 / 2419 34.1% 38.9%
To the body 52 / 71 73.2% 70.7% 233 / 326 71.5% 71.7%
To the legs 65 / 81 80.2% 82.9% 212 / 250 84.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Till L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Gastelum L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 278 / 874 31.8% 39.0% 1052 / 2613 40.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 122 / 171 71.3% 68.9% 102 / 153 66.7% 70.9%
On the ground 140 / 190 73.7% 68.0% 68 / 97 70.1% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 329 / 940 35.0% 35.6% 768 / 2234 34.4% 37.9%
To the body 74 / 113 65.5% 69.6% 274 / 406 67.5% 71.3%
To the legs 137 / 182 75.3% 82.1% 180 / 223 80.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

646.2% acc · 0.55/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2435.3% acc · 1.04/15 · norm 1.42
3769.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
5560.4% def · norm 63.1%
10:456.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
47:1513.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
31:232:52 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
51:252:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.09/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gastelum has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.